Tuesday 25 March 2014

Ukraine and hearths potential new wars of Russia


After the invasion of the Crimea from Russia , future goals Vladimir Putin may be three eastern regions of Ukraine that have a large minority of the population who speak Russian , as well as Russian -speaking region of Moldova Transdniesterit .
Vladimir Putin has supported the annexation of the Crimea as a necessary measure to protect Russian - speakers by " thugs " and " extremists " alleged in the new government of Ukraine . But Western leaders fear that this excuse could be used to justify an invasion of other areas of Ukraine , with the largest minority Russian-speaking , especially in the eastern regions of Kharkiv , Donetsk and Luhanskit . Putin 's new doctrine can be expanded to incorporate the Russian -speaking region of Transdniestria in Moldova , Ukraine far .

However , Russian - speakers are a minority in eastern Ukraine . In Kharkiv they constitute eastern quarter of the population . Crimea was one and the only region of the country where Russian - speakers constituted an absolute majority of the population . This would make it difficult any Russian attack on East .

Ukraine's new leaders have chosen not to resist the invasion of the Crimea , but they definitely will fight the invasion of the eastern regions . Most residents in these areas are Ukrainian , which means that a guerrilla war would probably explode behind the lines even if Russia would achieve a conventional military victory .

EU dependence on Russian gas

Three major pipelines carry Russian gas across Ukraine to neighboring Poland and Slovakia , and then continue in other EU countries . In general , EU member states receive 40 percent of natural gas from Russia , while Ukraine serves as a transit route . This makes it difficult economic sanctions against the Kremlin . In this respect, Germany is the most sensitive , since imports over a third of oil and gas from Russia

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